Unemployment due to AI
yuiseki_ If you put yourself in the manager's mind and think in terms of Japanese layoff restrictions, unemployment due to AI is "I was suddenly fired! " I think it will start with "decrease in employment demand", i.e. "worsening of job market", and then it will start slowly like squeezing a cotton wool. And when employment demand declines, the entire economy shrinks and everyone becomes reluctant to work.
@nishio: middle management who retired early because they were told they could play a more active role if they changed jobs are looking for similar middle management jobs. But all those positions are competition with AI, and you have to be at least "a person who can master AI" to even get to the starting line, but caregiving and the like are still shorthanded.
Kinta Nakayama also pointed out a long time ago that "in Japan, AI is not a form of firing people".
The counter-action to declining job demand is the Universal Basic Income that Sam Altman is advocating.
In the case of Japan, companies that can afford membership-based employment are likely to move to basic income within the company, holding on to human resources that cannot be laid off.
job-based employment places lay off people, and places that can't afford it bankruptcy release their people.
Middle management will become even more unnecessary than it is now.
Changes in organizational structure brought about by LLM
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